TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 12:56 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Curras Abasolo and Diogo Morais in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Curras Abasolo' if Tomas Curras Abasolo advances against Diogo Morais. This market will resolve to 'Diogo Morais' if Diogo Morais advances against Tomas Curras Abasolo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Curras Abasolo and Diogo Morais in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Curras Abasolo' if Tomas Curras Abasolo advances against Diogo Morais. This market will resolve to 'Diogo Morais' if Diogo Morais advances against Tomas Curras Abasolo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Polymarket allows traders to directly assess the probability of an outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, with prediction markets sometimes presenting more accurate probabilities, particularly as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It’s common to see differences in implied probabilities between this market and sportsbook offerings, reflecting varying levels of information and market participants’ beliefs.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Sintra tennis match between Tomas Curras Abasolo and Diogo Morais, as declared by the tournament organizers. The winning player will determine the outcome of this market, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading volume will be key to understanding potential catalysts that could move this market before it resolves.