TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 8:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tiago Cacao and Fausto Tabacco in the M25 Sintra, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tiago Cacao' if Tiago Cacao advances against Fausto Tabacco. This market will resolve to 'Fausto Tabacco' if Fausto Tabacco advances against Tiago Cacao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tiago Cacao and Fausto Tabacco in the M25 Sintra, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tiago Cacao' if Tiago Cacao advances against Fausto Tabacco. This market will resolve to 'Fausto Tabacco' if Fausto Tabacco advances against Tiago Cacao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Polymarket allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there’s strong public sentiment or information asymmetry. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, potentially offering a more accurate forecast of the M25 Sintra race result than traditional betting outlets.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the M25 Sintra race between Tiago Cacao and Fausto Tabacco. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available race results, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the market's outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding the racers' physical condition, training progress, or equipment changes could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on race day could also shift probabilities, as could any controversies or rule changes related to the M25 Sintra race. Major endorsements or public statements from respected figures in the racing community might also impact trading activity, leading to fluctuations in the odds for both Tiago Cacao and Fausto Tabacco.