TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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M25 Sintra: Stephane Lucas vs Luke Kelsall
polymarket

What is the result of Stephane Lucas vs Luke Kelsall?

Volume:
$404

Completed Match

 - Polymarket

Completed Match - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 14, 7:39 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$404
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Sintra: Stephane Lucas vs Luke Kelsall

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Sintra: Stephane Lucas vs Luke Kelsall Set 1 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Sintra: Stephane Lucas vs Luke Kelsall Set 2 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Sintra: Stephane Lucas vs Luke Kelsall Total Sets: O/U 2.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Sintra: Stephane Lucas vs Luke Kelsall Set 1 O/U 8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Sintra: Stephane Lucas vs Luke Kelsall Set 1 O/U 9.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Sintra: Stephane Lucas vs Luke Kelsall Set 1 O/U 10.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Sintra: Stephane Lucas vs Luke Kelsall Set 2 O/U 8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Sintra: Stephane Lucas vs Luke Kelsall Set 2 O/U 9.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Sintra: Stephane Lucas vs Luke Kelsall Set 2 O/U 10.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Sintra: Stephane Lucas vs Luke Kelsall Match O/U 21.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Sintra: Stephane Lucas vs Luke Kelsall Match O/U 22.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Sintra: Stephane Lucas vs Luke Kelsall Match O/U 23.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Sintra: Stephane Lucas vs Luke Kelsall Set Handicap +/-1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Sintra: Stephane Lucas vs Luke Kelsall Set Handicap +/-1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 16

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Stephane Lucas and Luke Kelsall in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stephane Lucas' if Stephane Lucas advances against Luke Kelsall. This market will resolve to 'Luke Kelsall' if Luke Kelsall advances against Stephane Lucas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Stephane Lucas and Luke Kelsall in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stephane Lucas' if Stephane Lucas advances against Luke Kelsall. This market will resolve to 'Luke Kelsall' if Luke Kelsall advances against Stephane Lucas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by the collective predictions of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant discrepancy emerges between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event, or that new information hasn't yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines.

This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the M25 Sintra race, determining which competitor ultimately wins. The platform will rely on publicly available data to verify the winner and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates on the race and its results as the resolution date approaches. Any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s guidelines.

Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding the condition or preparation of Stephane Lucas or Luke Kelsall – such as injuries, changes in training regimes, or reported performance levels – could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions on race day could also play a role, potentially favoring one competitor over the other. Finally, any public statements or analyses from racing experts that challenge existing assumptions about the competitors’ chances could introduce new information and impact trading activity in this market.