TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 2:31 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Samin Abduraufov and Valentin Vanta in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Samin Abduraufov' if Samin Abduraufov advances against Valentin Vanta. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Vanta' if Valentin Vanta advances against Samin Abduraufov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Samin Abduraufov and Valentin Vanta in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Samin Abduraufov' if Samin Abduraufov advances against Valentin Vanta. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Vanta' if Valentin Vanta advances against Samin Abduraufov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy emerges between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise for informed traders. It’s common to see prediction markets adjust more rapidly to new information or changing sentiment than sportsbooks, as they are continuously updated by a large number of participants.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Sintra fight, as declared by the relevant sporting authorities. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the fight takes place. Any news regarding injuries to either Samin Abduraufov or Valentin Vanta would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in fighter training regimens, public statements from coaches, or even shifts in betting patterns on sportsbooks could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected developments in the lead-up to the fight, such as changes in weight class or fight location, could also move this market considerably.