TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Basing and Giorgio Tabacco in the M25 Sintra, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Basing' if Max Basing advances against Giorgio Tabacco. This market will resolve to 'Giorgio Tabacco' if Giorgio Tabacco advances against Max Basing. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Basing and Giorgio Tabacco in the M25 Sintra, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Basing' if Max Basing advances against Giorgio Tabacco. This market will resolve to 'Giorgio Tabacco' if Giorgio Tabacco advances against Max Basing. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can arise from varying levels of information access and differing interpretations of available data. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Basing vs Tabacco match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating, and it adjusts dynamically to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Basing vs Tabacco match as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome will be considered the winner. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 23, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could significantly shift trader sentiment. Public statements from players or coaches, as well as expert analysis, could also impact the market. Unexpected weather conditions or venue changes could also play a role. Essentially, any information that alters the perceived probability of either athlete winning will likely cause movement in this market.