TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 8:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lourenco Correia and Diogo Marques in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lourenco Correia' if Lourenco Correia advances against Diogo Marques. This market will resolve to 'Diogo Marques' if Diogo Marques advances against Lourenco Correia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lourenco Correia and Diogo Marques in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lourenco Correia' if Lourenco Correia advances against Diogo Marques. This market will resolve to 'Diogo Marques' if Diogo Marques advances against Lourenco Correia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by real-money trading and a wider range of information. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. Examining these differences can be insightful, though it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither guarantees accuracy.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Sintra match between Lourenco Correia and Diogo Marques. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on publicly available and verifiable information regarding the match’s completion. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants or large-scale bets could drive price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Sep 21, 2026.