TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 12:01 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lars Goran Verwerft and Gabriel Miller in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lars Goran Verwerft' if Lars Goran Verwerft advances against Gabriel Miller. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Miller' if Gabriel Miller advances against Lars Goran Verwerft. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lars Goran Verwerft and Gabriel Miller in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lars Goran Verwerft' if Lars Goran Verwerft advances against Gabriel Miller. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Miller' if Gabriel Miller advances against Lars Goran Verwerft. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who buy shares in a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, and the lower the implied probability of other outcomes. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence regarding the race's potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official results of the M25 Sintra race will be used to determine the winner. Any official results or changes released by the race organizers will be considered. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution of this market, providing clarity on the winning competitor.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding the physical condition of the competitors, such as injuries or illness, would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Weather conditions on race day could also play a role, as certain racers may perform better in specific conditions. Unexpected announcements related to race strategy or equipment changes could also move the market. Furthermore, large trades from influential market participants could trigger follow-on buying or selling, impacting the overall price action.