TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 3:15 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Joel Lamotte and Diogo Morais in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joel Lamotte' if Joel Lamotte advances against Diogo Morais. This market will resolve to 'Diogo Morais' if Diogo Morais advances against Joel Lamotte. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Joel Lamotte and Diogo Morais in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joel Lamotte' if Joel Lamotte advances against Diogo Morais. This market will resolve to 'Diogo Morais' if Diogo Morais advances against Joel Lamotte. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to find an equilibrium. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that the price movements are driven entirely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and reflect the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this specific market.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official results of the M25 Sintra tennis match, determining the winner between Joel Lamotte and Diogo Morais, will be used to settle this market. The resolution will be based on the officially recorded match results, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 21, 2026. News regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match performances, could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location could also impact the perceived chances of each player. Furthermore, any significant changes in betting activity or public sentiment, as reflected by trading volume on Polymarket, could lead to price adjustments. Finally, updates on head-to-head records or strategic changes by either player could also move this market.