TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 6:37 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Mendes and Alan Sau Franco in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joao Mendes' if Joao Mendes advances against Alan Sau Franco. This market will resolve to 'Alan Sau Franco' if Alan Sau Franco advances against Joao Mendes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Mendes and Alan Sau Franco in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joao Mendes' if Joao Mendes advances against Alan Sau Franco. This market will resolve to 'Alan Sau Franco' if Alan Sau Franco advances against Joao Mendes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when public perception deviates from expert analysis. Examining these differences can reveal insights into how the crowd views the likelihood of a particular result in the Mendes vs Sau Franco match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Mendes vs Sau Franco match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Mendes vs Sau Franco match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Sep 21, 2026 resolution date. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could significantly shift trader sentiment. Publicly available analysis from sports commentators and experts could also impact the market, as could large trades by influential participants on Polymarket. Unexpected weather conditions or other external factors impacting match conditions could also contribute to price movement in this market.