TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 7:03 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Goncalo Marques and Tomas Curras Abasolo in the M25 Sintra, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Goncalo Marques' if Goncalo Marques advances against Tomas Curras Abasolo. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Curras Abasolo' if Tomas Curras Abasolo advances against Goncalo Marques. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Goncalo Marques and Tomas Curras Abasolo in the M25 Sintra, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Goncalo Marques' if Goncalo Marques advances against Tomas Curras Abasolo. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Curras Abasolo' if Tomas Curras Abasolo advances against Goncalo Marques. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for one outcome, its price increases, and the price of the opposing outcome decreases. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd, constantly adjusting to new information and changing perspectives. The current price effectively represents the market's forecast for the event's outcome, based on the aggregated actions of all traders.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Sintra tennis match between Goncalo Marques and Tomas Curras Abasolo. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results and reporting from reputable sports news sources. The final price of shares in this market will reflect the actual outcome of the match, determining payouts for traders who correctly predicted the winner.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results, could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions at the tournament location could also play a role, potentially favoring one player’s style of play over the other. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament could also indirectly affect sentiment, as traders reassess the overall competitive landscape. Finally, large trading volume from informed bettors could quickly move the price, signaling a shift in perceived probabilities.