TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 6:34 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Goncalo Marques and Lucas Nunez in the M25 Sintra, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Goncalo Marques' if Goncalo Marques advances against Lucas Nunez. This market will resolve to 'Lucas Nunez' if Lucas Nunez advances against Goncalo Marques. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Goncalo Marques and Lucas Nunez in the M25 Sintra, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Goncalo Marques' if Goncalo Marques advances against Lucas Nunez. This market will resolve to 'Lucas Nunez' if Lucas Nunez advances against Goncalo Marques. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a player has a higher chance of winning than implied by sportsbook odds, the price will move accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the players' chances in the Sintra tennis match. It’s a good way to gauge public sentiment versus professional analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each player winning. As more shares are purchased for a particular player, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, and the current price represents the market’s collective forecast for the outcome of the Sintra tennis match. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing opinions.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the Sintra tennis match, as officially declared by the tournament organizers, will determine the winning share in this market. The resolution will be based on the official result, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the match results as this will dictate the final settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes might also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed individuals could trigger price movements, reflecting new information or a change in outlook regarding the Sintra tennis match. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential shifts in the market.