TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 3:15 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Giulio Perego and Jake Fellows in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giulio Perego' if Giulio Perego advances against Jake Fellows. This market will resolve to 'Jake Fellows' if Jake Fellows advances against Giulio Perego. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Giulio Perego and Jake Fellows in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giulio Perego' if Giulio Perego advances against Jake Fellows. This market will resolve to 'Jake Fellows' if Jake Fellows advances against Giulio Perego. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its shares will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment regarding the M25 Sintra race.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the M25 Sintra race, determining which racer crossed the finish line first. The platform will verify the results against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before the M25 Sintra race takes place. Any news regarding the racers’ health, training progress, or equipment changes could significantly shift market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on race day could also impact the perceived probabilities, favoring racers with experience in those conditions. Finally, any significant shifts in public opinion or expert analysis regarding the racers’ chances could lead to changes in trading activity and, consequently, the market prices.