TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 10:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Giorgio Tabacco and Michael Agwi in the M25 Sintra, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giorgio Tabacco' if Giorgio Tabacco advances against Michael Agwi. This market will resolve to 'Michael Agwi' if Michael Agwi advances against Giorgio Tabacco. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Giorgio Tabacco and Michael Agwi in the M25 Sintra, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giorgio Tabacco' if Giorgio Tabacco advances against Michael Agwi. This market will resolve to 'Michael Agwi' if Michael Agwi advances against Giorgio Tabacco. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparing prediction market odds to sportsbook odds reveals how the wisdom of the crowd differs from professional oddsmakers. Often, prediction markets can offer different perspectives, especially when incorporating information not fully reflected in traditional betting lines. Discrepancies can arise from differing analysis of athlete form, strategic considerations, or even external factors influencing the race. It’s important to note that prediction markets allow for trading positions, meaning odds can shift dynamically based on new information, unlike fixed-odds sportsbooks. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into the potential outcome of the M25 Sintra race.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the M25 Sintra race, determining which competitor achieved the fastest time. The platform will utilize publicly available data to verify the winner and settle the market accordingly. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final share price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources and official race results as the event approaches to stay informed.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Giorgio Tabacco or Michael Agwi, such as injuries or illness, would likely impact the odds. Changes in weather conditions leading up to the race, or even during the event, could also influence the outcome and shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about race strategy or equipment changes could also be catalysts. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the competitors' chances could lead to increased trading volume and price adjustments in this market.