TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 5:42 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Finn Murgett and Clemens Cserni in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Finn Murgett' if Finn Murgett advances against Clemens Cserni. This market will resolve to 'Clemens Cserni' if Clemens Cserni advances against Finn Murgett. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Finn Murgett and Clemens Cserni in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Finn Murgett' if Finn Murgett advances against Clemens Cserni. This market will resolve to 'Clemens Cserni' if Clemens Cserni advances against Finn Murgett. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and the expertise of oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when there's considerable uncertainty surrounding the outcome. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the expected result.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Sintra tennis match between Finn Murgett and Clemens Cserni, as declared by the tournament organizers. Any potential disputes will be evaluated based on widely accepted tennis scoring rules and official match documentation. The market will then settle, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could cause traders to reassess their positions. Unexpected performance in other matches leading up to this event could also affect perceptions of each player’s form. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket itself can create short-term price movements, as the market reacts to changes in demand and supply. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the market.