TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 7:36 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Dorian Makarski and Jared Horwood in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dorian Makarski' if Dorian Makarski advances against Jared Horwood. This market will resolve to 'Jared Horwood' if Jared Horwood advances against Dorian Makarski. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dorian Makarski and Jared Horwood in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dorian Makarski' if Dorian Makarski advances against Jared Horwood. This market will resolve to 'Jared Horwood' if Jared Horwood advances against Dorian Makarski. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the market price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is determined by the share price relative to $1, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in that outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Sintra match between Dorian Makarski and Jared Horwood. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Sep 13, 2026. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Dorian Makarski or Jared Horwood, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in their recent performance or strategic adjustments could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the event itself, such as venue changes or rule modifications, could also cause price fluctuations. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either competitor winning will likely move this market.