TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 3:37 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between David TOMA and Diogo Morais in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'David TOMA' if David TOMA advances against Diogo Morais. This market will resolve to 'Diogo Morais' if Diogo Morais advances against David TOMA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between David TOMA and Diogo Morais in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'David TOMA' if David TOMA advances against Diogo Morais. This market will resolve to 'Diogo Morais' if Diogo Morais advances against David TOMA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a more accurate forecast of events than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes move faster in response to breaking news or significant betting activity. For this market, it's worth comparing the implied probabilities on Polymarket with those offered by major sportsbooks to see if any discrepancies exist. These differences can present potential arbitrage opportunities for informed traders, though they are often short-lived.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The racer who officially wins the M25 Sintra race, as determined by the official race results, will be the winning outcome in this market. The platform will verify the results against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding the racers' recent performance, training updates, or potential injuries could significantly shift probabilities. Weather conditions on race day will also be a key factor, as they can impact racer strategies and performance. Unexpected announcements related to race logistics or changes to the course could also cause movement. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal shifts in sentiment and drive price changes.