TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 7:36 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between David Gaivoto and Vasco Maria Marques in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'David Gaivoto' if David Gaivoto advances against Vasco Maria Marques. This market will resolve to 'Vasco Maria Marques' if Vasco Maria Marques advances against David Gaivoto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between David Gaivoto and Vasco Maria Marques in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'David Gaivoto' if David Gaivoto advances against Vasco Maria Marques. This market will resolve to 'Vasco Maria Marques' if Vasco Maria Marques advances against David Gaivoto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changes in sentiment and expectations regarding the M25 Sintra match.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Sintra match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the M25 Sintra match takes place. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the players’ form or any controversies surrounding the match could also cause significant price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could create short-term volatility, as others react to their actions and adjust their own positions.