TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 3:37 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Blu Baker and Cristian Kouchnarev in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Blu Baker' if Blu Baker advances against Cristian Kouchnarev. This market will resolve to 'Cristian Kouchnarev' if Cristian Kouchnarev advances against Blu Baker. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Blu Baker and Cristian Kouchnarev in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Blu Baker' if Blu Baker advances against Cristian Kouchnarev. This market will resolve to 'Cristian Kouchnarev' if Cristian Kouchnarev advances against Blu Baker. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on the aggregated predictions of individuals. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s depth, indicated by the volume of shares traded, also influences price stability and responsiveness to new data.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official results of the M25 Sintra race will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will then verify the results against these sources to finalize the settlement of the market. Traders who held shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding the condition of the racers, Blu Baker or Cristian Kouchnarev, such as injuries or changes in training regimens, would likely have an impact. Weather conditions on race day could also significantly shift the odds, as certain racers may perform better in specific conditions. Finally, any pre-race analysis or expert opinions released by sports analysts could sway public sentiment and affect trading activity in this market.