TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 3:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Blu Baker and Benjamin Tauber in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Blu Baker' if Blu Baker advances against Benjamin Tauber. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Tauber' if Benjamin Tauber advances against Blu Baker. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Blu Baker and Benjamin Tauber in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Blu Baker' if Blu Baker advances against Benjamin Tauber. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Tauber' if Benjamin Tauber advances against Blu Baker. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on the platform, providing a real-time assessment of the race’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official results of the M25 Sintra race will be used to determine the winner. The platform will then verify the outcome against these sources, and payouts will be distributed to traders holding shares in the winning outcome. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information and aims to be as objective and transparent as possible.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the condition or performance of Blu Baker or Benjamin Tauber, such as injury reports or recent race results, could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions on race day could also play a role, potentially favoring one competitor over the other. Furthermore, any major endorsements or public statements from experts could sway market sentiment and lead to changes in share prices. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding the evolving probabilities in this market.