TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 3:15 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Bernardo Severino and Vasco Leote Prata in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bernardo Severino' if Bernardo Severino advances against Vasco Leote Prata. This market will resolve to 'Vasco Leote Prata' if Vasco Leote Prata advances against Bernardo Severino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Bernardo Severino and Vasco Leote Prata in the M25 Sintra, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bernardo Severino' if Bernardo Severino advances against Vasco Leote Prata. This market will resolve to 'Vasco Leote Prata' if Vasco Leote Prata advances against Bernardo Severino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome of the M25 Sintra race. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage or simply indicate varying levels of confidence in a particular competitor.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the M25 Sintra race, determining which competitor, Bernardo Severino or Vasco Leote Prata, achieved the better result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome and their positions in the market. The platform will verify the results and distribute payouts accordingly, ensuring a transparent and reliable resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Bernardo Severino or Vasco Leote Prata, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions leading up to the M25 Sintra race could also affect expectations. Furthermore, any updates on training performance or strategic adjustments announced by either team could cause traders to reassess their positions and adjust their predictions. These signals will be reflected in the changing prices and volume of shares traded.