TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 8:04 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Adria Soriano Barrera and Fausto Tabacco in the M25 Sintra, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adria Soriano Barrera' if Adria Soriano Barrera advances against Fausto Tabacco. This market will resolve to 'Fausto Tabacco' if Fausto Tabacco advances against Adria Soriano Barrera. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adria Soriano Barrera and Fausto Tabacco in the M25 Sintra, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adria Soriano Barrera' if Adria Soriano Barrera advances against Fausto Tabacco. This market will resolve to 'Fausto Tabacco' if Fausto Tabacco advances against Adria Soriano Barrera. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individual traders’ beliefs and information. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially leading to odds movements that diverge from sportsbook offerings before the event takes place.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and evolving assessment of the likely result of the Adria Soriano vs Tabacco match. This pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing opinions.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Adria Soriano vs Tabacco match, as reported by the governing body of the M25 Sintra tournament. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their stake. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several signals could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on team strategies could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the players’ form or fitness levels could also lead to substantial price movements. Furthermore, public opinion and expert analysis, if widely disseminated, may impact the perceived probabilities of each outcome. Any significant development related to the Adria Soriano vs Tabacco match is likely to be reflected in the market’s price.