TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Completed Match
- Polymarket
Completed Match - Polymarket
1W
News
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 24, 2026
Closed: Sep 24, 8:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yurii Dzhavakian and Chirag Duhan in the M25 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yurii Dzhavakian' if Yurii Dzhavakian advances against Chirag Duhan. This market will resolve to 'Chirag Duhan' if Chirag Duhan advances against Yurii Dzhavakian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yurii Dzhavakian and Chirag Duhan in the M25 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yurii Dzhavakian' if Yurii Dzhavakian advances against Chirag Duhan. This market will resolve to 'Chirag Duhan' if Chirag Duhan advances against Yurii Dzhavakian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, incorporating factors like player statistics and expert opinions. However, this market allows traders to incorporate a wider range of information, including potentially overlooked factors or late-breaking news, leading to odds that may diverge from sportsbook offerings. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks, and sometimes offer more accurate forecasts overall.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome will occur, the higher the share price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment among traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh M25 match between Yurii Dzhavakian and Chirag Duhan, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The winner of the match will determine the outcome of this market, and all winning shares will be paid out accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected performance in prior matches could shift trader sentiment. A strong showing by either player in a preceding tournament, or even reports of illness affecting their preparation, could lead to a reassessment of their chances. Additionally, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could also cause noticeable price movements, reflecting a change in the collective prediction of market participants.