TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 11:50 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Niklas Waldner and Gawad El Feky in the M25 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Niklas Waldner' if Niklas Waldner advances against Gawad El Feky. This market will resolve to 'Gawad El Feky' if Gawad El Feky advances against Niklas Waldner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Niklas Waldner and Gawad El Feky in the M25 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Niklas Waldner' if Niklas Waldner advances against Gawad El Feky. This market will resolve to 'Gawad El Feky' if Gawad El Feky advances against Niklas Waldner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, theoretically providing a more accurate reflection of true probabilities. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts as more information and opinions are factored in by participants. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access or interpretations of the event's potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Sharm ElSheikh match between Niklas Waldner and Gawad El Feky. The platform will verify the result against established sports reporting sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress leading up to this date.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also trigger movement. Public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also play a role, influencing traders' perceptions of each player’s chances. Major upsets in related tournaments or matches involving these players could also impact this market, as traders reassess the probabilities based on new information.