TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 23, 2026
Closed: Sep 23, 9:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Ulrich and Yurii Dzhavakian in the M25 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Ulrich' if Nicolas Ulrich advances against Yurii Dzhavakian. This market will resolve to 'Yurii Dzhavakian' if Yurii Dzhavakian advances against Nicolas Ulrich. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Ulrich and Yurii Dzhavakian in the M25 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Ulrich' if Nicolas Ulrich advances against Yurii Dzhavakian. This market will resolve to 'Yurii Dzhavakian' if Yurii Dzhavakian advances against Nicolas Ulrich. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a more accurate assessment of probabilities than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which skews the implied probabilities. This market, however, allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of each player winning. While sportsbook odds may initially differ, they often converge with prediction market prices as more information becomes available and traders refine their estimates. It's crucial to consider both sources when evaluating the potential outcome of the Ulrich vs Dzhavakian match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all traders on Polymarket regarding the likelihood of each player winning the match, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information.
This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Sharm ElSheikh match between Nicolas Ulrich and Yurii Dzhavakian. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning player. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. It's important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 30, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event might also impact expectations. Furthermore, major announcements about the tournament itself, such as changes to the schedule or venue, could introduce volatility. Monitoring tennis news, player social media, and expert analysis will be key to understanding potential catalysts that could move this market in the coming weeks.