TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 6:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Fondriest and Filippo Crippa in the M25 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Fondriest' if Matteo Fondriest advances against Filippo Crippa. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Crippa' if Filippo Crippa advances against Matteo Fondriest. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Fondriest and Filippo Crippa in the M25 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Fondriest' if Matteo Fondriest advances against Filippo Crippa. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Crippa' if Filippo Crippa advances against Matteo Fondriest. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can highlight areas where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers, offering potential value for informed bettors. Keep in mind that both represent probabilities of an outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh M25 match between Matteo Fondriest and Filippo Crippa. The platform will verify the result against official tournament data to determine the winning outcome. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. The final price will reflect the collective prediction of all traders.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Sep 28, 2026. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact predictions. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading volume will be key to understanding how this market evolves as the event approaches. Public perception and analyst opinions could also play a role.