TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Completed Match
- Polymarket
Completed Match - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 24, 2026
Closed: Sep 24, 10:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marwan Ehab and Paul Jubb in the M25 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marwan Ehab' if Marwan Ehab advances against Paul Jubb. This market will resolve to 'Paul Jubb' if Paul Jubb advances against Marwan Ehab. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marwan Ehab and Paul Jubb in the M25 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marwan Ehab' if Marwan Ehab advances against Paul Jubb. This market will resolve to 'Paul Jubb' if Paul Jubb advances against Marwan Ehab. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the probabilities implied by both can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of the same event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the match's potential result. This creates a market-driven probability assessment for the Marwan Ehab vs Paul Jubb match.
This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Marwan Ehab vs Paul Jubb match, as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and determine which outcome corresponds to the winning shares. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 1, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader tournament news, might also impact the probabilities. Furthermore, large trades or concentrated buying/selling activity on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements, reflecting shifts in market confidence regarding the Marwan Ehab vs Paul Jubb match.