TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Completed Match
- Polymarket
Completed Match - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 24, 2026
Closed: Sep 24, 6:54 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Castagnola and Fares Zakaria in the M25 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Castagnola' if Luca Castagnola advances against Fares Zakaria. This market will resolve to 'Fares Zakaria' if Fares Zakaria advances against Luca Castagnola. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Castagnola and Fares Zakaria in the M25 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Castagnola' if Luca Castagnola advances against Fares Zakaria. This market will resolve to 'Fares Zakaria' if Fares Zakaria advances against Luca Castagnola. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, potentially incorporating information not fully captured by sportsbooks. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to unique information, or simply variations in how probabilities are assessed. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks, as the continuous trading adjusts the prices in real-time based on collective insights.
This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh M25 match between Luca Castagnola and Fares Zakaria. The platform will verify the winner of the match against publicly available sources to determine the winning share. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress leading up to this date.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift market sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in overall market risk appetite could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring tennis news, player statistics, and the overall trading activity on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential catalysts.