TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 12:01 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Leonardo Vega and Nicolas Ulrich in the M25 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leonardo Vega' if Leonardo Vega advances against Nicolas Ulrich. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Ulrich' if Nicolas Ulrich advances against Leonardo Vega. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Leonardo Vega and Nicolas Ulrich in the M25 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leonardo Vega' if Leonardo Vega advances against Nicolas Ulrich. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Ulrich' if Nicolas Ulrich advances against Leonardo Vega. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant discrepancy exists between the odds on Polymarket and those offered by sportsbooks, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sources.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Leonardo Vega and Nicolas Ulrich, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the Sharm ElSheikh venue, or even a change in the surface being played on, could also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, significant betting activity or analysis from tennis experts could sway the market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements in this market.