TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Completed Match
- Polymarket
Completed Match - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 23, 2026
Closed: Sep 23, 10:43 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Hrazdil and Luca Castagnola in the M25 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Hrazdil' if Jan Hrazdil advances against Luca Castagnola. This market will resolve to 'Luca Castagnola' if Luca Castagnola advances against Jan Hrazdil. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Hrazdil and Luca Castagnola in the M25 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Hrazdil' if Jan Hrazdil advances against Luca Castagnola. This market will resolve to 'Luca Castagnola' if Luca Castagnola advances against Jan Hrazdil. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each venue. It's worth comparing the odds to see if there's an edge to be found in either location.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction behind each possible outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Hrazdil vs Castagnola match will be used to determine the winning outcome. It's important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verifiable information to ensure a fair and accurate outcome. Traders should monitor news sources for official results as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to either Hrazdil or Castagnola, or changes in playing conditions could all impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, significant bets from informed traders, or even large media coverage, could create momentum and move the odds as people react to new information or opinions.