TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 10:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Essa Qabazard and Georgios Nouchakis in the M25 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Essa Qabazard' if Essa Qabazard advances against Georgios Nouchakis. This market will resolve to 'Georgios Nouchakis' if Georgios Nouchakis advances against Essa Qabazard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Essa Qabazard and Georgios Nouchakis in the M25 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Essa Qabazard' if Essa Qabazard advances against Georgios Nouchakis. This market will resolve to 'Georgios Nouchakis' if Georgios Nouchakis advances against Essa Qabazard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s significant public interest or disagreement about the likely winner. Analyzing these differences can sometimes reveal insights into where the crowd believes sportsbooks may be mispricing the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what percentage of the total market capitalization is allocated to a particular outcome, providing a clear signal of market sentiment regarding the Qabazard vs Nouchakis match.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Sharm ElSheikh match between Essa Qabazard and Georgios Nouchakis. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning player and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official tournament results for confirmation of the final outcome and settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 28, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or location might also cause price fluctuations. Publicly released analysis from tennis experts or significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could also impact trading volume and price movements. Monitoring these signals can help traders assess potential opportunities and adjust their positions accordingly.