TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 10:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Dzmitry Dziubailau and Daniil Varaksa in the M25 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dzmitry Dziubailau' if Dzmitry Dziubailau advances against Daniil Varaksa. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Varaksa' if Daniil Varaksa advances against Dzmitry Dziubailau. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dzmitry Dziubailau and Daniil Varaksa in the M25 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dzmitry Dziubailau' if Dzmitry Dziubailau advances against Daniil Varaksa. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Varaksa' if Daniil Varaksa advances against Dzmitry Dziubailau. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, being driven by the collective wisdom of traders, tends to more closely reflect the true probabilities as perceived by those actively researching and betting on the event. However, discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks, potentially leading to more efficient pricing.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh M25 match, specifically determining which player, Dzmitry Dziubailau or Daniil Varaksa, emerges as the victor. The platform will rely on established tennis authorities and official match records to verify the winner. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final, confirmed outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match performances, could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location could also play a role, potentially impacting player performance. Furthermore, major upsets in other matches within the tournament could influence overall market sentiment and betting behavior. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could trigger price movements, reflecting new information or strategic positioning.