TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 7:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Ovcharenko and Andriy Poritskyy in the M25 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Ovcharenko' if Daniil Ovcharenko advances against Andriy Poritskyy. This market will resolve to 'Andriy Poritskyy' if Andriy Poritskyy advances against Daniil Ovcharenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Ovcharenko and Andriy Poritskyy in the M25 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Ovcharenko' if Daniil Ovcharenko advances against Andriy Poritskyy. This market will resolve to 'Andriy Poritskyy' if Andriy Poritskyy advances against Daniil Ovcharenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts based on real-time trading activity, reflecting a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, offering opportunities for arbitrage.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Daniil Ovcharenko and Andriy Poritskyy. The platform will verify the winner through official tournament results and reporting, ensuring a transparent and accurate settlement. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the match result as the resolution date approaches, as this will determine the payout of their shares in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader tournament news, might also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in expectations. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading patterns on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential catalysts that could move this market before it resolves.