TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 8:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tyler Stice and Gabriel Tacanho in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tyler Stice' if Tyler Stice advances against Gabriel Tacanho. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Tacanho' if Gabriel Tacanho advances against Tyler Stice. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tyler Stice and Gabriel Tacanho in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tyler Stice' if Tyler Stice advances against Gabriel Tacanho. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Tacanho' if Gabriel Tacanho advances against Tyler Stice. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. This dynamic process creates a market-driven assessment of the likelihood of Tyler Stice or Gabriel Tacanho winning the match.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Setubal tennis match between Tyler Stice and Gabriel Tacanho. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available match results, ensuring a transparent and objective determination. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players might also impact confidence levels. Furthermore, significant betting activity from informed traders could trigger price movements. Even broader tennis news, such as a major tournament result affecting player rankings, could indirectly influence this market. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the probabilities.