TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 1:42 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Tocha and Alan Sau Franco in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Tocha' if Tomas Tocha advances against Alan Sau Franco. This market will resolve to 'Alan Sau Franco' if Alan Sau Franco advances against Tomas Tocha. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Tocha and Alan Sau Franco in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Tocha' if Tomas Tocha advances against Alan Sau Franco. This market will resolve to 'Alan Sau Franco' if Alan Sau Franco advances against Tomas Tocha. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the event’s likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and reflects the collective intelligence of its users regarding the Setubal tennis match.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Setubal tennis match between Tomas Tocha and Alan Sau Franco. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning player and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official tournament results to understand how this market will be settled. The outcome will be determined by the official match results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players might also impact the market. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in expectations. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading activity on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential market movements leading up to Sep 27, 2026.