TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:25 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas PIOT and Salvador Monteiro in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thomas PIOT' if Thomas PIOT advances against Salvador Monteiro. This market will resolve to 'Salvador Monteiro' if Salvador Monteiro advances against Thomas PIOT. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas PIOT and Salvador Monteiro in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thomas PIOT' if Thomas PIOT advances against Salvador Monteiro. This market will resolve to 'Salvador Monteiro' if Salvador Monteiro advances against Thomas PIOT. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and insights. If there's a significant discrepancy, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual outcome of the Setubal tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe in a particular outcome, the higher the price of its shares will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants regarding the Setubal tennis match.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Thomas PIOT vs Salvador Monteiro match in Setubal. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders who held shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tennis news, might also impact the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves before the Setubal tennis match concludes.