TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 1:40 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucas Nunez and Egor Polin in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucas Nunez' if Lucas Nunez advances against Egor Polin. This market will resolve to 'Egor Polin' if Egor Polin advances against Lucas Nunez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucas Nunez and Egor Polin in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucas Nunez' if Lucas Nunez advances against Egor Polin. This market will resolve to 'Egor Polin' if Egor Polin advances against Lucas Nunez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of individuals incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders capitalize on mispricings between the two types of markets. Ultimately, both aim to predict the same event, but their approaches and underlying data differ.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Setubal tennis match between Lucas Nunez and Egor Polin. The platform will verify the winner of the match against publicly available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those who bet on the losing outcome will forfeit their shares. The exact timing of resolution may depend on the speed of official result publication.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in tennis rankings, might also impact the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment. Monitoring news sources and observing trading patterns on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential market movements leading up to Sep 27, 2026.