TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 9:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lourenco Silva E Costa and Duarte Lima Sanches in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lourenco Silva E Costa' if Lourenco Silva E Costa advances against Duarte Lima Sanches. This market will resolve to 'Duarte Lima Sanches' if Duarte Lima Sanches advances against Lourenco Silva E Costa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lourenco Silva E Costa and Duarte Lima Sanches in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lourenco Silva E Costa' if Lourenco Silva E Costa advances against Duarte Lima Sanches. This market will resolve to 'Duarte Lima Sanches' if Duarte Lima Sanches advances against Lourenco Silva E Costa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes of the Setubal tennis match, and the price of each share reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; increased buying pressure drives the price up, indicating higher confidence in that outcome, while selling pressure lowers it. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in response to changing circumstances.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the tennis match between Lourenco Silva E Costa and Duarte Lima Sanches, as declared by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. It’s important to monitor the official tournament channels for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes to playing conditions could shift the odds. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the match schedule could also cause movement. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants – often referred to as “smart money” – can quickly alter the probabilities. Public sentiment and analysis from tennis experts, while not directly factored into the market, can also indirectly influence trader behavior and therefore the price of shares in this market.