TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 7:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lemuel Cassidy and Diogo Morais in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lemuel Cassidy' if Lemuel Cassidy advances against Diogo Morais. This market will resolve to 'Diogo Morais' if Diogo Morais advances against Lemuel Cassidy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lemuel Cassidy and Diogo Morais in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lemuel Cassidy' if Lemuel Cassidy advances against Diogo Morais. This market will resolve to 'Diogo Morais' if Diogo Morais advances against Lemuel Cassidy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating a growing belief in its likelihood. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Setubal tennis match.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Setubal tennis match between Lemuel Cassidy and Diogo Morais, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning player and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on their recent performance could shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, major upsets in other related tennis tournaments might affect public perception and, consequently, the price of shares in this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential movements before Sep 28, 2026.