TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 9:05 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Domingues and Rafael Izquierdo Luque in the M25 Setubal, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joao Domingues' if Joao Domingues advances against Rafael Izquierdo Luque. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Izquierdo Luque' if Rafael Izquierdo Luque advances against Joao Domingues. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Domingues and Rafael Izquierdo Luque in the M25 Setubal, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joao Domingues' if Joao Domingues advances against Rafael Izquierdo Luque. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Izquierdo Luque' if Rafael Izquierdo Luque advances against Joao Domingues. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to collectively express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant difference emerges, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. It's important to compare the probabilities implied by both sets of odds to assess where the perceived value lies.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Setubal tennis match between Joao Domingues and Rafael Izquierdo Luque, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The market will determine which player won the match, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be resolved.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders or significant shifts in public opinion could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing trading patterns will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move this market.