TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 9:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Dinis Silva and Duarte C Rego in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joao Dinis Silva' if Joao Dinis Silva advances against Duarte C Rego. This market will resolve to 'Duarte C Rego' if Duarte C Rego advances against Joao Dinis Silva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Dinis Silva and Duarte C Rego in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joao Dinis Silva' if Joao Dinis Silva advances against Duarte C Rego. This market will resolve to 'Duarte C Rego' if Duarte C Rego advances against Joao Dinis Silva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or other prediction markets. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Setubal tennis match between Joao Dinis Silva and Duarte C Rego. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result of this market.
Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market leading up to Sep 28, 2026. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also impact the market. Additionally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in expectations, causing the probabilities to adjust rapidly. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.