TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 1:40 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Deus and Artur Carvalho Rocha in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joao Deus' if Joao Deus advances against Artur Carvalho Rocha. This market will resolve to 'Artur Carvalho Rocha' if Artur Carvalho Rocha advances against Joao Deus. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Deus and Artur Carvalho Rocha in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joao Deus' if Joao Deus advances against Artur Carvalho Rocha. This market will resolve to 'Artur Carvalho Rocha' if Artur Carvalho Rocha advances against Joao Deus. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is driven by supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises the price, while increased selling pressure lowers it. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Joao Deus versus Artur Carvalho Rocha tennis match in Setubal. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader trends in tennis performance, might also impact predictions. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading volume on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.