TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 1:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Inaki Montes-De La Torre and Lui Maxted in the M25 Setubal, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Inaki Montes-De La Torre' if Inaki Montes-De La Torre advances against Lui Maxted. This market will resolve to 'Lui Maxted' if Lui Maxted advances against Inaki Montes-De La Torre. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Inaki Montes-De La Torre and Lui Maxted in the M25 Setubal, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Inaki Montes-De La Torre' if Inaki Montes-De La Torre advances against Lui Maxted. This market will resolve to 'Lui Maxted' if Lui Maxted advances against Inaki Montes-De La Torre. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, meaning the price will move based on trader activity and sentiment regarding the Setubal tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Setubal tennis match between Inaki Montes-De La Torre and Lui Maxted, as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine which player won the match and settle the market accordingly. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final market odds.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament could also lead to reassessments of player form and potential outcomes. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns or expert analysis, could also drive price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 2, 2026.