TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 11:08 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Inaki Montes-De La Torre and Alec Deckers in the M25 Setubal, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Inaki Montes-De La Torre' if Inaki Montes-De La Torre advances against Alec Deckers. This market will resolve to 'Alec Deckers' if Alec Deckers advances against Inaki Montes-De La Torre. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Inaki Montes-De La Torre and Alec Deckers in the M25 Setubal, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Inaki Montes-De La Torre' if Inaki Montes-De La Torre advances against Alec Deckers. This market will resolve to 'Alec Deckers' if Alec Deckers advances against Inaki Montes-De La Torre. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability. The current price indicates the cost to take a position on a particular outcome, and changes based on supply and demand. The volume traded provides insight into the strength of conviction behind each prediction.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Setubal tennis match between Inaki Montes-De La Torre and Alec Deckers. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available data from official tennis sources. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome, reflecting the actual result of the competition.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament could also impact perceptions of player momentum. Public sentiment and analysis from tennis experts could also play a role, although the market is primarily driven by trader activity. Major shifts in volume could signal increased conviction in a particular outcome, potentially leading to price movements in this market.