TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Completed Match
- Polymarket
Completed Match - Polymarket
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 23, 2026
Closed: Sep 23, 12:09 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Georgii Kravchenko and Giorgio Tabacco in the M25 Setubal, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Georgii Kravchenko' if Georgii Kravchenko advances against Giorgio Tabacco. This market will resolve to 'Giorgio Tabacco' if Giorgio Tabacco advances against Georgii Kravchenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Georgii Kravchenko and Giorgio Tabacco in the M25 Setubal, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Georgii Kravchenko' if Georgii Kravchenko advances against Giorgio Tabacco. This market will resolve to 'Giorgio Tabacco' if Giorgio Tabacco advances against Georgii Kravchenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. Examining these differences can be insightful, as prediction markets sometimes outperform traditional methods in forecasting event outcomes, though this is not always the case.
This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Setubal tennis match between Georgii Kravchenko and Giorgio Tabacco. The platform will verify the winner based on widely available and trusted sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the market's outcome. Traders should monitor official tournament results for confirmation.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament might also impact perceptions of player form and confidence. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, potentially leading to price adjustments before the Sep 30, 2026 resolution.