TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 1:40 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriel Miller and Dino Molokova Ferreira in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Miller' if Gabriel Miller advances against Dino Molokova Ferreira. This market will resolve to 'Dino Molokova Ferreira' if Dino Molokova Ferreira advances against Gabriel Miller. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriel Miller and Dino Molokova Ferreira in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Miller' if Gabriel Miller advances against Dino Molokova Ferreira. This market will resolve to 'Dino Molokova Ferreira' if Dino Molokova Ferreira advances against Gabriel Miller. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the market's assessment of the likelihood of a particular player winning the Setubal tennis match, and is driven entirely by supply and demand within Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Setubal tennis match between Gabriel Miller and Dino Molokova Ferreira, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 27, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in player form could cause the odds to move. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in the tennis world, might also affect trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by influential traders could create short-term price fluctuations, reflecting their individual assessments of the Setubal tennis match.