TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 3:48 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Frederic Schlossmann and Finn Hopfe in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Frederic Schlossmann' if Frederic Schlossmann advances against Finn Hopfe. This market will resolve to 'Finn Hopfe' if Finn Hopfe advances against Frederic Schlossmann. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Frederic Schlossmann and Finn Hopfe in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Frederic Schlossmann' if Frederic Schlossmann advances against Finn Hopfe. This market will resolve to 'Finn Hopfe' if Finn Hopfe advances against Frederic Schlossmann. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular outcome is likely, the higher the price of its shares will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the evolving sentiment of the crowd and provides a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Setubal tennis match between Frederic Schlossmann and Finn Hopfe. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results to determine the final payout for shares in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected performance in earlier rounds could shift market sentiment. Significant betting activity from informed traders, or even a surge in overall volume, could also cause noticeable price movements. Furthermore, updates on player form or tactical adjustments announced by either player’s camp could all contribute to changes in the perceived probabilities and, consequently, the market price.