TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:02 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Frederic Schlossmann and Afonso Almeida in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Frederic Schlossmann' if Frederic Schlossmann advances against Afonso Almeida. This market will resolve to 'Afonso Almeida' if Afonso Almeida advances against Frederic Schlossmann. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Frederic Schlossmann and Afonso Almeida in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Frederic Schlossmann' if Frederic Schlossmann advances against Afonso Almeida. This market will resolve to 'Afonso Almeida' if Afonso Almeida advances against Frederic Schlossmann. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their assessments of the players’ chances in the Setubal tennis match.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Setubal tennis match between Frederic Schlossmann and Afonso Almeida, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when this market is settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 27, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (such as weather), or updates on player form could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players might also impact perceptions of their relative strengths. Any significant information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning the Setubal tennis match is likely to cause movement in the market on Polymarket.