TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 9:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Finn Murgett and Pablo Martin Weinberg in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Finn Murgett' if Finn Murgett advances against Pablo Martin Weinberg. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Martin Weinberg' if Pablo Martin Weinberg advances against Finn Murgett. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Finn Murgett and Pablo Martin Weinberg in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Finn Murgett' if Finn Murgett advances against Pablo Martin Weinberg. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Martin Weinberg' if Pablo Martin Weinberg advances against Finn Murgett. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Setubal tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, indicating increased confidence from traders. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants in the market, offering a real-time assessment of the likely winner.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Setubal tennis match between Finn Murgett and Pablo Martin Weinberg, as declared by the governing tennis authorities. The platform will then determine the winning share based on the official outcome, and payouts will be distributed accordingly to those who correctly predicted the result of this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift predictions. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader trends in the tennis world, could also impact trader sentiment. Even significant betting activity from large traders on Polymarket could cause noticeable price fluctuations as the market adjusts to new information and evolving expectations before the Setubal tennis match concludes.