TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 12:43 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Finn Murgett and Miguel Semedo in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 11:04AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Finn Murgett' if Finn Murgett advances against Miguel Semedo. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Semedo' if Miguel Semedo advances against Finn Murgett. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Finn Murgett and Miguel Semedo in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 11:04AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Finn Murgett' if Finn Murgett advances against Miguel Semedo. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Semedo' if Miguel Semedo advances against Finn Murgett. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Setubal tennis match between Finn Murgett and Miguel Semedo. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning player. The final price of shares in this market will reflect the actual outcome of the match, providing a payout to those who correctly predicted the winner.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market leading up to Sep 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring these players could also impact confidence levels. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring news sources and observing trading volume on Polymarket will provide insights into potential catalysts for market movement.