TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 10:33 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Dylan Charlier and Lourenco Silva E Costa in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dylan Charlier' if Dylan Charlier advances against Lourenco Silva E Costa. This market will resolve to 'Lourenco Silva E Costa' if Lourenco Silva E Costa advances against Dylan Charlier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dylan Charlier and Lourenco Silva E Costa in the M25 Setubal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dylan Charlier' if Dylan Charlier advances against Lourenco Silva E Costa. This market will resolve to 'Lourenco Silva E Costa' if Lourenco Silva E Costa advances against Dylan Charlier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players' abilities. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Setubal tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Setubal tennis match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. The current top outcome, as indicated by the highest share price, represents the most likely result according to the traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Dylan Charlier versus Lourenco Silva E Costa tennis match in Setubal. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to their share holdings at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Sep 27, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in the world of professional tennis, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in expectations, potentially leading to substantial price movements in this market.